Отправлено 17 August 2007 - 16:00
ренкап оценивают ККБ,
их почитаешь так вообще кажется что ККБ в болоте
KKB to report 2Q/1H07 IFRS consolidated results
KKB:UNDER REVIEW
EVENT: KKB reports 2Q/1H07 IFRS consolidated results on Monday (20 Aug). We expect a strong 2Q from KKB and look for earnings of KZT12.7mn and KZT22.7mn for 2Q and 1H, respectively.
However, the numbers themselves, while comforting, are not what investors will/should be focused on. The conference call following the results is key.
KKB's story and thus stock price has come under pressure as a result of local regulatory measures and, to a larger extent, by the global credit tightening that we have seen recently, triggered by US subprime losses. In this conference call the key questions on investors’ minds and key to any share-price recovery are:
* Will KKB be able to find the funding in 2H07 and 2008 to meet current aggressive growth targets?
* If so, then what will the funding cost be and what will be the impact on cost of funding, margins and thus earnings?
* If not, then what are the revised growth estimates? In addition, regarding the pre-announced capital raising, when will it happen and how large is it likely to be?
ACTION: We have the stock under review, with our current line of thinking being that KKB will find the funding but will simply have to pay up for it with minimal impact in 2007 and a more dramatic impact in 2008. As for capital raising, we believe management will want to try and avoid this until market conditions improve as they struggle to raise capital from the same investors who gave them equity less then 12 months ago when the share price is at a sizeable discount to IPO price.
We will review our numbers/view post results but generally believe it is not a time to try and be too clever with financial stocks.