Интересные акции Америки, Европы, ...
#1144
Отправлено 03 June 2016 - 12:54
в который раз вижу как они доходят до 120 потом летят вниз до 65, и сейчас они снова штурмуют вершину
#1145
Отправлено 03 June 2016 - 14:39
Gali (22 April 2015 - 18:49) писал:
Chuvak (15 April 2015 - 12:28) писал:
Разговоры ведутся давно, но действий пока... Шумиха, короче. Первая ссылка вообще от 13-го года.
Вот, кстати, акутально:
http://ru.reuters.co...lBrandChannel=0
Чуваки, у меня призыв ко всем:
Мне кажется надо жить зеленее и инвестировать зеленее и меньше быть потребителем(типа КРС - что впихнут), а быть умным потребителем и рациональным.
В убытке ведь наши щеглы будут (астма, аллергии, дерьмовая еда и пр...)
Может присмотримся вот к таким инициативам?
http://eco-bym.com/zero_waste_lauren/
http://www.trashisfo...om/p/about.html
На сердце будет хорошо, если своим баксом (в зарубежные акции) мы будем поддерживать зеленую энергетику,
умные системы менеджменты энергии, всяких мусорщиков.
Вот, например тут можно искать идеи:
http://www.greentechmedia.com/
Если я что актуальное буду находить, то буду скидывать.
Я нашел компанию DCI (Donaldson Co), она фильтрами занимается, но не прям 100% зелень, но у нее хорошие показатели.
Сейчас дорогая, а если будет по 27-30. Надо брать.
хорошие показатели у Дональдсон (долг в норме, продажи растут и профит есть) но я бы на уровне 25 стал покупать...
Салам алейкум!
На всякий пожарный, хотя вряд ли кто-то открывался по Donaldson (DCI) кроме меня,
имеет смысл часть позиции закрыть. К сожалению маловато взял, но по плану 27-30, так что я еще подержу.
http://seekingalpha....ns-dividend-bad
Нуржан, я не слежу за HTC.
Сообщение отредактировал Chuvak: 03 June 2016 - 15:00
#1146
Отправлено 06 June 2016 - 23:14
подскажите
пополнение Interactive Brokers делали обычный банковский перевод или через Swift?
Есть ли какие-то подводные камни ?
#1147
Отправлено 10 June 2016 - 23:49
Shreder (06 June 2016 - 23:14) писал:
подскажите
пополнение Interactive Brokers делали обычный банковский перевод или через Swift?
Есть ли какие-то подводные камни ?
От нас к ним только свифт, только с назначением платежа не перемудрите, а то банковские работники по этим вопросам глупят на ровном месте. Для основания перевода используйте письмо от ИБ с реквизитами вашего счета. Если станут запрашивать живую печать, давите на электронную регистрацию. Они в любом случае проводят через головной, там должны дать ума и пропустить перевод.
#1148
Отправлено 12 June 2016 - 18:03
Magellan (10 June 2016 - 23:49) писал:
Shreder (06 June 2016 - 23:14) писал:
подскажите
пополнение Interactive Brokers делали обычный банковский перевод или через Swift?
Есть ли какие-то подводные камни ?
От нас к ним только свифт, только с назначением платежа не перемудрите, а то банковские работники по этим вопросам глупят на ровном месте. Для основания перевода используйте письмо от ИБ с реквизитами вашего счета. Если станут запрашивать живую печать, давите на электронную регистрацию. Они в любом случае проводят через головной, там должны дать ума и пропустить перевод.
Спасибо.
#1149
Отправлено 27 June 2016 - 15:39
Сейчас самое время прикупить First Solar и в июле-августе еще хапнуть.
Прицел на пару лет. Ожидания хорошие.
*-=fin=- May2016(FY2015+1Q2016)
The Company has been on the track of improvement for 3 year in a row, growth rates, profitability metrics
and margins follow, sales reached all-time high. Management was able to cut COGS and SGA exp. through period of tepid sales growth.
The BS sheet of the Company is sequentially healthy and promises to stay so. I think it is a part of the strategy –
It helps FSLR to stay major, reliable, bankable partner for many counterparties. Unfortunately, FLSR resulted a negative CFO & FCF
in 2015 mostly due to cash inflows that are due in early 2016, if those payment occurred in 2015, than CFO would have been positive.
At the background there is always a threat of additional stock issuance, though FSLR abused it only once over latest 5y period.
Per share growth rate should be soundly placed at 10-11%;
-=hds&mng=- (FY2015+1Q) May2016 FSLR has a pack of suitable managers that generally put themselves behind their words,
M.J. Ahearn, J.A. Hughes and Rafi are likeable managers. In 2016 a leadership transition to occur - we'll see about M. Windmar's talents.
(+) Mr. Michael J. Ahearn, Chairman - is a very versatile, a well versed person;
(+) James A. Hughes , CEO - is a Chairman of the Board of Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco;
(+) Vanguard group and Wellington management here are very loyal shareholder that raise stakes;
(+) Raffi Garabedian, CTO - a strong engineer with solid education and background, holds 28 patents;
(+) Georges Antoun became a CCO - he looks qualified enough;
(+) new COO - Philip Tymen de Jong spent 25 years in Intel and since 2010 is in charge of EPC (engineering, procurement, and construction);
(-) James A. Hughes stepped down to advisory service handing the office to Mark Windmar - a dark horse to me;
*-=biz=- (FY2015+1Q) May2016 At the right hand we have executed production and technology plans and growth of project line, but
at the left hand - US concentrated sales, customer concentration, temporary low taxes and change of business' character.
(+) yearly settlements of "Product Warranties" are low enough (about 1% of a year's revenue);
(+) I believe that the actual value of the Goodwill materially understated and it can worth 200-700 mios USD
instead of 84, especially when FSLR has become the technology leader of CdTe process;
(+) shares out. growth are in line with sound policies (3%< per year);
(+) project assets grew 41% during 2015 (14% in 2014 and 93% in 2013) - that are exactly solar projects that Company runs and sells;
(+) the Company ramps up production in line with guidance 1800(2014)->2500(2015) - full capacity. FSLR has enough manufacturing capacity
to ramp up production if needed up to 3.9GW;
(-) concentrated geo sales 2016 - USA87%, 2015 - USA90%. India is a bright growing spot though 1%->4%. EU is lost;
(-) though they derive most of the sales from US operations they bfr tax US income 3 times less than non-US;
(-) guidance suggests 18-20% tax rate for 2016 thus EPS may be in line or below the line of 3y EPS average (3.85);
(-) concentrated sales, FSLR has 2 clients that are accountable for 10% of the Sales, 30%+26%=> 50%. More diversification is required. In 2014 3 clients 30%+15%+14%;
*the Company has become a system integrator rather than equipment seller, solar module rev 2011-47% -> 2015-6%;
*-=rprt=-_(FY2015&1Q2016)_May2015 (story) 110-K reports usually indicates positive developments and according to this one FSLR is on track to keep
being #1 as a global PV system integrator. A wise man keep cautious about any company's 10-K though.
(+) an industry recognized company with additional awards for the business and projects in 2014-2015. For instance, "2015 - Solar Power World - #1 Ranked Top 500 Solar Contractors/Top Developer", "MENA Award 2015 - PV Technology Innovation - winner";
(+) Systems project pipeline 3.8 GW (3.2 2015). A couple of new "World's largest projects";
(+) 5.6 GW PV plants under the O&M program vs 2.5 GW in 2014;
(+) "Our module conversion efficiency has improved on average more than half a percent every year for the last 10 years.";
(+) "Our Malaysian subsidiary has been granted a long-term tax holiday that expires in 2027 .";
(+) FSLR has another 250-300 mios of near cash or 2,5 per share (restricted cash & investments). Plus 15+ per share - cash&near cash items => 17+ per share;
(+) "First Solar’s bankability and financial credibility enables us to offer meaningful system-level warranties for entire solar power plants years after the installation, which provides us with a competitive advantage";
(+) "In 2015 , First Solar retained the title of Australia’s largest PV EPC and O&M company. We continue to maintain our PV module market leadership in India with over 1,000 MW DC of installed modules."
(+) active participation in almost all potential projects worldwide that were indicated in 10-K 2014 "Global markets";
(-) information about Crystalline Silicon Modules is subdued over 10-K, though FSLR acquired TetraSun In Apr2013;
(-) "In 2015, approximately 60% of sales were derived from systems projects or 3d-party module sales to solar power systems in California".
(Pitch) FSLR is large utility-scale solar company with competitive CdTe technology and prices, great financial condition and consistent
development of the business. Management proved to be potent and far-sighted. I have concerns, as usual about industry’s development
and competition, concentrated sales, CdTe technology and certainly about geo-diversification lost. Current pricing 49 +/- level
is offering 7+ p/e (after P. Lynch technique) with 10-12% pace of business growth. A stalwart with 80-85+ price potential;
Сообщение отредактировал Chuvak: 29 June 2016 - 15:10
#1151
Отправлено 28 June 2016 - 00:12
#1153
Отправлено 30 June 2016 - 15:16
Можно покупать сейчас.
*-=fin=- Jun2016(FY2015+2Q2016)
(growth&profitability story) Skyworks is riding the towering wave of data transmission and it doing it in a nicely way
so that industry revenues are translated into 2-digit growth of the company's financial results, during 2013-2015 trend got stronger.
Company grows 7th year in row, revenue and operating income outpace growth of the expenses, favorable tax rate.
(+) 2016 (ends at oct) would be 7th consecutive year in a row of growing revenue;
(+) every 3y the business's sales and operating inc. double;
(+) the company has favorable tax environment due to overseas operations that lowers average rate to 22% vs 35% US tax rate;
(+) outstanding revenue growth rates 10y 15+%, 5y 24% never looked so good especially when CoGS' rates are 2+% lower;
(+) operating expenses' growth lack behind the revenue's growth;
(+) OE per share and diluted EPS's growth rates are >30%, but it can be a temporal event - more reasonable rate is 20% +/-;
(+) margins are just great and keep improving alongside with trend of ever-increasing data-consumption;
(+) R&D to sales averages at 11% (300+ mio a year);
(-) during 2015 SWKS' earned 798 mio: cash change 237.8, PPE change 270.5, dividends 123.1 and share-based compens. 99.8 (12% of NI).
Thus shareholders miss 10-12% of NI annually due to generous benefit policy. We must always subtract 12+% of net income, OE fortunately covers it;
(-) sales per employee grow only at 10% pace;
*Though SWKS’s recent per share results grew at 30%-40% pace, 20% is more suggestible – at 5y average;
(asset structure story) BS currently is in an extremely healthy form unburdened by any debt or heavy liabilities.
Current ratio of 4+ and hidden value at intangible assets, however rather big goodwill at the balance.
(+) great assets to liability ratio 6+. During 2011-2012 it was below 1 due to heavy LT debt;
(+) no debt since 2010, current ratio is 3y average is 4%;
(+) cash averages at 25% of assets, inventories are low and accs receivable at 15% to assets with av. ratio of 12.5%;
(+) intangible assets account for few percentage in LT assets structure, however it is obvious that they cost several hundred mios;
(-) during 2011-2012 SKWS had negative working capital and book value;
(-) 22% of assets are concentrated in goodwill;
(cash flows story and per share appraisal) Currently we are in a period of improving flows, that could be near its cyclical end. Structure of cash flows
looks simple and understandable. SWKS started to pay dividend which is ok and its amount of shares grow in moderate way. Adjusted PE signals
that the time for a purchase m.b. has come at level 60-65 and below.
(+) CFO and FCF are keep growing since 2012 marking their 6th (in oct2016) year of steady flows;
(+) average growth of shares out is below 1% a year(3,5 years) which is acceptable, and LT is 1.95%, which is a bit heavy though not very critical;
(+) started to pay dividends in 2014 partly returning cash to shareholders, it not always a sign that management doesn't know how invest better;
(+) adjusted PE (cash-debt) at level 65 equals to 21.27 which is very buyable, last time this level was seen in 2013 bfr stock went from 24 to 100+ in 2015;
(-) 2007-2010 period was market by improving CFO, but then it was spoiled till 2012, a bad pattern.
(-) FCF over 2006-2011 was kind of jagged;
*capex spiked from 5.7% to 13.2% of revenue since 2014 ("we invested $430 million on capital expenditures associated with plant expansions in
Mexico and Japan);
#1154
Отправлено 01 July 2016 - 10:23
#1155
Отправлено 02 July 2016 - 22:33
Chuvak (30 June 2016 - 15:16) писал:
Можно покупать сейчас.
2016-06-30 18:59:45 SWKS Aldrich David J Exec COB S - Sale+OE $60.21 -15,000 149,758 -9% -$903,180 -1
2016-06-23 19:10:16 SWKS Aldrich David J Exec COB S - Sale+OE $66.62 -15,000 154,758 -9% -$999,338 -8 -8
2016-06-16 19:19:39 SWKS Aldrich David J Exec COB S - Sale+OE $64.83 -15,000 159,758 -9% -$972,450 -1 +1
2016-06-09 19:05:13 SWKS Aldrich David J Exec COB S - Sale+OE $67.10 -15,000 164,758 -8% -$1,006,440 -4 -4
2016-06-02 19:07:19 SWKS Aldrich David J Exec COB S - Sale+OE $66.79 -15,000 169,758 -8% -$1,001,800 +1 +3 -5
2016-05-26 19:04:13 SWKS Aldrich David J Exec COB S - Sale+OE $66.11 -15,000 174,683 -8% -$991,650 0 +1 -7
2016-05-19 19:22:31 SWKS Aldrich David J Exec COB S - Sale+OE $62.94 -15,000 179,683 -8% -$944,031 +3 +5 +2
2016-05-18 19:08:00 SWKS Gammel Peter L CTO S - Sale $62.94 -22,015 13,852 -61% -$1,385,543 -1 +5 +2
2016-05-12 19:24:54 SWKS Aldrich David J Exec COB S - Sale+OE $64.33 -15,000 184,683 -8% -$964,940 -1 +3 +6
2016-05-05 19:14:18 SWKS Aldrich David J COB, CEO S - Sale+OE $66.88 -15,000 189,683 -7% -$1,003,200 0 +1 +4
2016-04-28 19:14:07 SWKS Aldrich David J COB, CEO S - Sale+OE $71.69 -15,000 194,626 -7% -$1,075,390 -7 -9 -7
2016-04-21 19:11:32 SWKS Aldrich David J COB, CEO S - Sale+OE $73.27 -15,000 199,626 -7% -$1,099,111 0 +1 -12
2016-04-19 19:23:16 SWKS Gammel Peter L CTO S - Sale $76.64 -1,500 35,863 -4% -$114,960 +1 -2 -13
2016-04-15 18:48:47 SWKS Griffin Liam Pres S - Sale $75.28 -2,500 31,304 -7% -$188,200 0 -4 -18
2016-04-14 19:03:22 SWKS Aldrich David J COB, CEO S - Sale+OE $74.48 -15,000 204,626 -7% -$1,117,225 -2 -5 -19
2016-04-08 18:54:03 SWKS Palette Donald W EVP, CFO S - Sale $75.94 -18,686 44,342 -30% -$1,418,978 -2 -1 -16
2016-04-07 19:04:34 SWKS Aldrich David J COB, CEO S - Sale+OE $76.82 -15,000 209,626 -7% -$1,152,229 0 0 -17
2016-04-01 18:31:29 SWKS Griffin Liam Pres S - Sale $77.61 -2,500 33,834 -7% -$194,025 -1 -1 -15
2016-04-01 18:30:29 SWKS Palette Donald W EVP, CFO S - Sale+OE $77.78 -12,500 63,040 -17% -$972,281 -1 -1 -15
2016-03-31 19:16:35 SWKS Aldrich David J COB, CEO S - Sale+OE $74.56 -15,000 214,676 -7% -$1,118,414 0 0 -8
2016-03-23 19:42:20 SWKS Freyman Bruce J EVP, Worldwide Operations S - Sale $76.20 -18,018 34,407 -34% -$1,372,982 0 +2
2016-03-18 19:13:20 SWKS Griffin Liam Pres S - Sale $75.09 -2,500 36,334 -6% -$187,725 0 -1 -3
2016-03-17 19:08:05 SWKS Gammel Peter L CTO S - Sale $73.52 -1,500 37,366 -4% -$110,280 +3 +2 0
2016-03-16 19:22:14 SWKS Aldrich David J COB, CEO S - Sale+OE $73.00 -30,000 219,676 -12% -$2,190,000 0 +3 +2
2016-02-19 18:59:49 SWKS Aldrich David J COB, CEO S - Sale+OE $63.00 -57,558 229,586 -20% -$3,626,154 +2 +2 +23
2016-02-18 19:01:59 SWKS Gammel Peter L CTO S - Sale $59.45 -1,500 38,860 -4% -$89,175 +1 +3 +20
2016-01-15 18:58:40 SWKS Gammel Peter L CTO S - Sale $61.00 -1,500 40,088 -4% -$91,500 0 +10 +2
2015-12-31 19:05:56 SWKS Griffin Liam Pres S - Sale $79.71 -5,000 38,734 -11% -$398,542 +1 -12 -9
2015-12-23 19:18:23 SWKS Griffin Liam Pres S - Sale $77.76 -5,000 43,734 -10% -$388,818 0 0 -17
Пока повисит бумага, потенциал есть, но прям сейчас боязно, помониторю рынок, мож что изменится - там можно прикупать.
#1156
Отправлено 09 July 2016 - 10:30
Однако, дилемма. Стоит ли зафиксировать часть прибыли сейчас или "let it ride"?
С начала года цены на золото выросли на 28% и серебро на 45%.
Некоторые майнеры в портфеле выросли в цене в 3-4 раза и все это за период всего каких-то нескольких месяцев.
Too far too fast.
В пользу того что подошло время фиксации части прибыли говорит наблюдаемая активизация закулисных движений, как то возобновление манипуляций на рынке и миллиардные филантропические распродажи на рынке фьючерсов, хотя в последний раз и не особо успешные, резкие изменения в правилах маржинальной торговли на CME по контрактам на золото и серебро, нарисованные статистиками-фантазерами цифры по занятости в США, и как следствие возобновление в СМИ трансляций уже поднадоевших сказок про белого бычка ака повышение ставки ФРС.
С другой стороны, все рынки-акций, бондов перекуплены и находятся у своих исторических максимумов, треть всех долговых инструментов имеет отрицательную доходность и это при том что уровень долговой нагрузки в финансовой системе находится на беспрецендентном уровне.
Политическая система и статус-кво трещат по швам. Эскалация военного противостояния в Европе, и рост риска военных конфликтов.
Действительно, настали экстраординарные времена, которые могут привести к экстроординарной переоценке некоторых классов активов.
#1157
Отправлено 09 July 2016 - 10:44
#1159
Отправлено 10 July 2016 - 16:44